According to @ReutersBiz, US stocks ended higher after mostly in-line US inflation data (source: Reuters Business). According to @ReutersBiz, the major US indexes nevertheless posted losses for the week (source: Reuters Business).

According to the source, Bitcoin BTC hovered above 111,000 dollars as traders waited for U.S. inflation data that could influence the Federal Reserve’s next interest rate decision. Source: X post dated Sep 25, 2025. The Consumer Price Index release from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is a key inflation gauge referenced by the FOMC in policy assessments, making it a critical catalyst for risk assets including BTC. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Federal Reserve FOMC statement. Into and after the print, market-implied policy probabilities can be tracked via the CME FedWatch Tool to gauge rate hike or cut expectations that often drive BTC volatility. Source: CME Group. For positioning, traders commonly monitor the U.S. Dollar Index and the U.S. 2-year Treasury yield for macro risk cues around the data window. Source: ICE Data Indices for DXY; U.S. Department of the Treasury.

According to Reuters Business, U.S. stocks closed lower as investors took profits with indexes near record levels. Reuters Business reported that Fed Chair Jerome Powell flagged potentially stretched stock prices and that investors are awaiting an inflation reading later this week. According to the International Monetary Fund, correlations between BTC and U.S. equities rose notably after 2020, indicating that equity risk sentiment can transmit to crypto markets. Based on those linkages, traders monitor BTC and ETH around key U.S. inflation releases and Fed guidance for volatility cues, according to the IMF’s correlation analysis and Reuters Business’ market recap.

According to @rovercrc, Bitcoin is smashing through a key resistance level now, indicating a breakout that traders are monitoring, source: @rovercrc. The same source notes that all eyes are on the CPI data later today as the immediate market focus, source: @rovercrc.

According to @rovercrc, Bitcoin (BTC) sold off following the most recent U.S. CPI releases, signaling elevated event risk for traders seeking to manage drawdowns and slippage around macro data (source: @rovercrc on X, Sep 11, 2025). CPI is released monthly at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, and macro prints at this time often trigger outsized volatility across risk assets including BTC, so reducing leverage and position size into the release is a common risk control (source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; source: CME Group education). Liquidity often thins and spreads widen in the seconds around the print, making limit orders and predefined levels preferable to market orders during the initial move (source: CME Group education). For options traders, implied volatility tends to rise into CPI and can compress after the release, so checking IV versus realized and using defined-risk structures is key when considering straddles or strangles (source: Deribit Insights; source: CME options education). Directional traders can wait for BTC to reclaim the pre-CPI VWAP or break the first 5–15 minute range before adding risk to reduce whipsaw exposure during the data digestion (source: CME Group trading education).

According to @KookCapitalLLC, Bitcoin (BTC) has surged past the $110,000 mark, propelled by significant inflows of over $407.78 million into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and a softer-than-expected U.S. inflation report. The source material highlights that the total lifetime inflow for these ETFs has reached $49.04 billion, according to data from SoSoValue. Matt Mena, a strategist at 21Shares, suggests this positive momentum puts a $200,000 price target for BTC by year-end 'firmly in play.' The market rally has extended to major altcoins including Ether (ETH), Solana (SOL), and Cardano (ADA), with memecoins like BONK and FARTCOIN posting gains of over 20%, signaling increased trader risk appetite. Traders are now closely watching the upcoming U.S. nonfarm payrolls data, which Alex Kuptsikevich of FxPro notes could act as either a further catalyst or a significant obstacle for the market's trajectory.

According to @KobeissiLetter, the U.S. M2 money supply has reached a record high of nearly $22 trillion, presenting a conflicting outlook for Bitcoin (BTC). Data from barchart.com confirms this new peak. Historically, a rising money supply can signal looser financial conditions, which is often bullish for risk assets like Bitcoin. However, TIOmarkets warns that if this growth outpaces the economy, it could lead to inflation, potentially prompting the Federal Reserve to maintain a hawkish stance. The St. Louis Federal Reserve has previously observed a lagged correlation where M2 growth precedes increases in PCE inflation, suggesting future inflationary pressures could build. In its latest meeting, the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady but adjusted its economic projections, now forecasting higher inflation (3.0% PCE) and lower GDP growth (1.4%) for the year. While the number of expected rate cuts for the current year remains the same, the long-term outlook indicates fewer cuts than previously anticipated. Following the announcement, Bitcoin (BTC) remained stable, trading around $104,200.

According to @KobeissiLetter, the U.S. dollar index (DXY) has dropped below the 98 level for the first time since early 2022, a development that could create a favorable environment for risk assets like Bitcoin (BTC). A weakening dollar is historically correlated with easier financial conditions and increased global liquidity, which tends to benefit speculative assets such as cryptocurrencies (@KobeissiLetter). This decline is driven by several factors, including U.S. headline inflation coming in at 2.4%, slightly below the 2.5% consensus estimate, which reinforces expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve policy (@KobeissiLetter). Citing the CME FedWatch Tool, the analysis notes that markets are pricing in a 99.8% probability of a rate cut at the June Fed meeting (@KobeissiLetter). Additionally, growing narratives around de-dollarization and policy uncertainty are cited as factors eroding confidence in the dollar and accelerating its decline, potentially signaling a bullish catalyst for the crypto market (@KobeissiLetter).

According to @KobeissiLetter, Bitcoin (BTC) and gold are experiencing downward pressure while the Nasdaq 100 reaches new all-time highs. This divergence is occurring as recent U.S. macroeconomic data points to potential stagflation, with the core PCE price index for May rising 0.2%, slightly above the 0.1% forecast, as stated in the report. Despite a growing U.S. national debt of over $36 trillion, a recent auction of 10-year Treasury notes showed strong demand, challenging the narrative of investors flocking to BTC and gold as safe havens. The source notes that Bitcoin is currently consolidating, with BTCUSDT data showing a price of approximately $107,572, trading between a 24-hour high of $108,746 and a low of $106,766.

According to Francisco Rodrigues, Bitcoin (BTC) fell 1.7% as heightened Middle East tensions drove investors toward safe havens like gold, yet analysts predict a $200,000 price by year-end due to expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts from subdued U.S. inflation data and rising institutional adoption. Boris Alergant noted BTC's risk-on behavior but highlighted structural demand from firms like MicroStrategy, while James Butterfill cited $900 million in digital asset fund inflows as a sign of rebounding confidence. SEC openness to altcoin ETFs such as Solana (SOL) could spur an 'altcoin ETF summer,' boosting DeFi tokens, per Youwei Yang.

According to Francisco Rodrigues, Bitcoin (BTC) rose to nearly $107,000, driven by a U.S.-brokered ceasefire between Iran and Israel that boosted global risk assets. Susannah Streeter of Hargreaves Lansdown noted doubts about the truce holding due to leaked U.S. intelligence reports on Iran's nuclear capabilities, potentially resuming military action. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized patience on interest-rate cuts amid elevated inflation and tariff risks, which Bitunix analysts stated supports risk assets but requires monitoring of upcoming data. Derivatives traders, including Jake O from Wintermute, indicated neutral positioning with tight price action expected around $100,000-$105,000, while call option buying points to modest bullish sentiment.

According to Francisco Rodrigues, Bitcoin (BTC) fell 1.7% to $107,534.98 due to rising Middle East tensions, as investors shifted to safe havens like gold, causing broader crypto market declines. However, analysts forecast BTC could reach $200,000 by year-end, driven by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts after subdued U.S. inflation data, as reported by the CME FedWatch tool. Boris Alergant highlighted BTC's risk-on behavior but noted growing institutional demand from firms like MicroStrategy. James Butterfill cited $900 million in digital asset inflows, signaling rebounding investor confidence in crypto markets.

According to Francisco Rodrigues, Bitcoin (BTC) declined 1.7% in the last 24 hours due to escalating Middle East tensions, which have driven investors toward safe havens like gold, as reported by market data. However, subdued US inflation data, with CPI rising less than forecast, increases the likelihood of Federal Reserve rate cuts, potentially boosting crypto prices; traders expect two cuts starting in September, per the CME FedWatch tool. Boris Alergant of Babylon stated that BTC trades as a risk-on asset but remains optimistic due to rising institutional demand, while Youwei Yang of BIT Mining highlighted SEC openness to layer-1 assets and DeFi tokens, and James Butterfill of CoinShares noted $900 million in inflows signaling rebounding confidence.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the current market is experiencing unprecedented levels of noise due to factors such as tariffs, ongoing wars, Federal Reserve decisions, recession concerns, and fluctuating inflation data (source: @KobeissiLetter, June 22, 2025). The Kobeissi Letter emphasizes that, for traders, monitoring price action is crucial in navigating these volatile conditions. This approach is especially relevant for cryptocurrency market participants, as macroeconomic uncertainty and policy shifts often lead to sharp movements in BTC, ETH, and altcoins. Staying responsive to price trends and real-time analysis helps traders identify actionable opportunities despite the ongoing noise.

According to market analysts, the dollar index (DXY) falling below 98 for the first time since early 2022 signals a shift that could boost cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC), as a weaker dollar eases financial conditions and benefits risk assets. This decline is driven by US headline inflation at 2.4% year-over-year, below consensus estimates, as per recent data, and a 99.8% probability of a Fed rate cut in June, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. De-dollarization narratives and Trump administration policy uncertainties are accelerating the dollar's fall, potentially fueling crypto gains.

According to @KookCapitalLLC, the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data came in below estimates, which is seen as a bullish signal for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC). Lower-than-expected CPI often indicates easing inflation pressures, potentially leading to more accommodative monetary policy from the Federal Reserve. As a result, traders may anticipate upward momentum in crypto prices, particularly for BTC and ETH, as lower inflation can boost investor confidence and risk appetite. This development is critical for short-term trading strategies and positions in the crypto market. (Source: @KookCapitalLLC, June 11, 2025)

According to Compounding Quality, high inflation leads to a reduction in purchasing power, which often drives investors to seek alternative assets like cryptocurrencies that are perceived as hedges against inflation (source: Compounding Quality on Twitter, June 9, 2025). For traders, periods of rising inflation typically coincide with increased volatility and trading volumes in Bitcoin and other crypto assets, as market participants shift capital away from fiat currencies. Monitoring inflation data can provide actionable signals for crypto trading strategies, especially when inflation trends diverge from central bank targets.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the US 30-year Treasury yield has climbed back to 5%, while mortgage rates have surged above 7%. Despite recent trade deals, weaker inflation data, and ongoing economic uncertainty, yields remain elevated and show no signs of retreat. The inability of positive headlines to suppress yields indicates persistent risk-off sentiment in traditional markets. For cryptocurrency traders, rising yields and higher borrowing costs may drive increased interest in alternative assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum, as investors seek returns outside traditional finance. Source: The Kobeissi Letter on Twitter.

According to Crypto Rover, the US Core Producer Price Index (PPI) has dropped to 2.4% in May 2025, coming in lower than market expectations. This decrease in core inflation is typically interpreted as a bullish signal for risk assets, including Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market, as it may increase the likelihood of more accommodative monetary policy from the Federal Reserve. Lower-than-expected inflation data often leads to increased investor appetite for cryptocurrencies due to potential USD weakening and improved liquidity conditions. (Source: Crypto Rover on Twitter, May 15, 2025)

According to Evan (@StockMKTNewz), the US Producer Price Index (PPI) for April declined by 0.5% month-over-month, surpassing estimates of a 0.2% drop. April retail sales rose by 0.1% MoM, slightly above the expected flat reading, while 229,000 new unemployment claims were filed last week, exceeding forecasts. These mixed economic signals suggest easing inflation pressures with resilient consumer spending, factors that typically influence Federal Reserve policy expectations and risk sentiment in the crypto market. Traders may see short-term volatility in Bitcoin and altcoins as investors reassess the outlook for US interest rates and liquidity conditions. (Source: Twitter - @StockMKTNewz)